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World Cup·Wed 3:00 PM ET·K 47.7K · PM $47.5K

Argentina vs England

England is the current favorite at $0.39 ask on Kalshi and $0.38 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈39% chance. Prices as of 14:14 UTC on Jul 12, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Argentina

World Cup

Wed 3:00 PM ET

England
30%32%34%6:20 AM7:15 AM7:57 AM8:37 AM9:27 AM31¢31¢

Moneyline

Argentina
Kalshi31¢Polymarket31¢
Draw1¢ gap
Kalshi32¢Polymarket33¢
England1¢ gap
Kalshi39¢Polymarket38¢

Totals

reg time
Over1¢ gap
Kalshi91¢Polymarket90¢
Under1¢ gap
Kalshi10¢Polymarket11¢

Spread

reg time
England -1.51¢ gap
Kalshi16¢Polymarket17¢
Argentina +1.51¢ gap
Kalshi85¢Polymarket84¢

To advance

incl extras + pens
England1¢ gap
Kalshi55¢Polymarket56¢
Argentina1¢ gap
Kalshi46¢Polymarket45¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.