Skip to content
← All games
World Cup·Tue 3:00 PM ET·K 70.9K · PM $42.5K

France vs Spain

France is the current favorite at $0.41 ask on Kalshi and $0.43 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈42% chance. Prices as of 11:44 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

France

World Cup

Tue 3:00 PM ET

Spain
38%40%42%44%24h18h12h6hnow41¢43¢

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Moneyline

France2¢ gap
Kalshi41¢Polymarket43¢
Draw1¢ gap
Kalshi30¢Polymarket31¢
Spain
Kalshi30¢Polymarket30¢

Totals

reg time
Over
Kalshi93¢Polymarket93¢
Under1¢ gap
Kalshi8¢Polymarket9¢

Spread

reg time
Spain -1.51¢ gap
Kalshi12¢Polymarket13¢
France +1.5
Kalshi89¢Polymarket89¢

To advance

incl extras + pens
France1¢ gap
Kalshi59¢Polymarket60¢
Spain1¢ gap
Kalshi42¢Polymarket41¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.