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ITF·Sun 6:00 AM ET

Arvid Nordquist vs Martin Borisiouk

Martin Borisiouk is the current favorite at $0.65 ask on Kalshi and $0.63 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈64% chance. Prices as of 03:08 UTC on Jul 12, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Arvid Nordquist

ITF

Sun 6:00 AM ET

Martin Borisiouk
38%42%6:18 PM6:27 PM6:34 PM6:43 PM6:51 PM40¢39¢

Moneyline

Arvid Nordquist1¢ gap
Kalshi40¢Polymarket39¢
Martin Borisiouk2¢ gap
Kalshi65¢Polymarket63¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.