Core PCE MoM·Thu, Jul 30

Core PCE MoM Print · 2026-07-30

The most likely bucket right now is 0.1% at $0.70 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈71% chance. Prices as of 13:46 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Core PCE MoM

Thu, Jul 30

KalshiPolymarket

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Bucket prices

0.0% or less

—

10¢

0.1%

—

71¢

0.2%

—

33¢

0.3%

—

48¢

0.4%

—

32¢

0.5%

—

6¢

0.6% or more

—

5¢

Polymarket closes Jul 30, 13:30 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 30, 12:25 UTC

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.