Core CPI YoY Print · 2026-08-12
The most likely outcome right now is 3.1% or more at $0.84 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈84% chance. Prices as of 10:58 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.
Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.
Release ranges
These ranges are mutually exclusive. A dash means there is no direct market on that venue for the range. Release timing can differ, so the contracts are not interchangeable.
Polymarket closes Aug 12, 03:59 UTC · Kalshi closes Aug 12, 12:25 UTC
Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.