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·Thu 2:30 PM ET

Arch vs DNK

Arch is the current favorite at $0.91 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈91% chance. Prices as of 11:56 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Arch

Thu 2:30 PM ET

DNK
89%90%92%93%3:54 AM3:56 AM3:59 AM4:00 AM4:02 AM91¢

Moneyline

Arch
Kalshi
Polymarket91¢
DNK
Kalshi
Polymarket91¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.