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·Thu 6:30 AM ET·K 0

Esuba vs Leo

Leo is the current favorite at $0.64 ask on Kalshi and $0.68 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈66% chance. Prices as of 10:58 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Esuba

Thu 6:30 AM ET

Leo
70%75%5:53 PM6:01 PM6:13 PM6:25 PM6:37 PM64¢64¢

Moneyline

Esuba2¢ gap
Kalshi64¢Polymarket66¢
Leo4¢ gap
Kalshi64¢Polymarket68¢

Totals

full match
Over4¢ gap
Kalshi75¢Polymarket79¢
Under2¢ gap
Kalshi99¢Polymarket97¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.