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·Thu 4:00 AM ET·K 2.3K

Megoshort vs Roundsgg

Megoshort is the current favorite at $0.57 ask on Kalshi and $0.51 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈54% chance. Prices as of 06:26 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Megoshort

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Roundsgg
60%70%11:59 PM12:31 AM1:03 AM1:33 AM2:05 AM57¢51¢

Moneyline

Megoshort6¢ gap
Kalshi57¢Polymarket51¢
Roundsgg3¢ gap
Kalshi47¢Polymarket50¢

Totals

full match
Over19¢ gap
Kalshi69¢Polymarket50¢
Under15¢ gap
Kalshi66¢Polymarket51¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.