Alexander Gschiel vs Nicolo Toffanin
Alexander Gschiel is the current favorite at $0.53 ask on Kalshi and $0.54 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈54% chance. Prices as of 10:53 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.
Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.
Alexander GschielITF
Wed 6:30 AM ET
Nicolo ToffaninIllustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.
Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.