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·Wed 4:00 AM ET

Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Luka Talan Lopatic

Carlos Lopez Montagud is the current favorite at $0.60 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈60% chance. Prices as of 11:00 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Carlos Lopez Montagud

Wed 4:00 AM ET

Luka Talan Lopatic
65%70%3:21 PM4:29 PM5:39 PM6:49 PM8:00 PM62¢60¢

Moneyline

Carlos Lopez Montagud
Kalshi
Polymarket60¢
Luka Talan Lopatic
Kalshi
Polymarket41¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.