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·Fri 4:00 AM ET

Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borges

Luciano Darderi is the current favorite at $0.55 ask on Kalshi and $0.54 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈55% chance. Prices as of 12:43 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Luciano Darderi

Fri 4:00 AM ET

Nuno Borges
52%56%5:27 AM5:40 AM5:54 AM6:06 AM6:18 AM55¢54¢

Moneyline

Luciano Darderi1¢ gap
Kalshi55¢Polymarket54¢
Nuno Borges
Kalshi47¢Polymarket47¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.