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·Thu 4:35 AM ET

Nikola Jovic vs Sebastiano Cocola

Sebastiano Cocola is the current favorite at $0.73 ask on Kalshi and $0.71 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈72% chance. Prices as of 04:52 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Nikola Jovic

Thu 4:35 AM ET

Sebastiano Cocola
28%30%32%34%6:17 PM7:19 PM8:26 PM9:37 PM10:50 PM31¢

Moneyline

Nikola Jovic
Kalshi31¢Polymarket31¢
Sebastiano Cocola2¢ gap
Kalshi73¢Polymarket71¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.