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·Thu 12:00 PM ET

Alina Shcherbinina vs Jia Jing Lu

Alina Shcherbinina is the current favorite at $0.58 ask on Kalshi and $0.57 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈57% chance. Prices as of 12:43 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Alina Shcherbinina

Thu 12:00 PM ET

Jia Jing Lu
56%58%60%6:20 AM6:30 AM6:39 AM6:51 AM7:00 AM57¢

Moneyline

Alina Shcherbinina1¢ gap
Kalshi58¢Polymarket57¢
Jia Jing Lu
Kalshi45¢Polymarket45¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.