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ITFW·Thu 12:00 PM ET

Julia Konishi Camargo Silva vs Marjorie Souza

Marjorie Souza is the current favorite at $0.75 ask on Kalshi and $0.77 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈76% chance. Prices as of 13:22 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Julia Konishi Camargo Silva

ITFW

Thu 12:00 PM ET

Marjorie Souza
20%40%60%80%100%6:16 AM7:03 AM7:47 AM8:26 AM9:08 AM30¢29¢

Moneyline

Julia Konishi Camargo Silva1¢ gap
Kalshi30¢Polymarket29¢
Marjorie Souza2¢ gap
Kalshi75¢Polymarket77¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.