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ITFW·Thu 5:00 AM ET

Danielle Dai Chapman vs Ksenia Smirnova

Ksenia Smirnova is the current favorite at $0.76 ask on Kalshi and $0.74 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈75% chance. Prices as of 06:53 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Danielle Dai Chapman

ITFW

Thu 5:00 AM ET

Ksenia Smirnova
25%35%12:13 AM12:54 AM1:33 AM2:11 AM2:50 AM29¢29¢

Moneyline

Danielle Dai Chapman
Kalshi29¢Polymarket29¢
Ksenia Smirnova2¢ gap
Kalshi76¢Polymarket74¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.