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·Thu 2:30 PM ET

Dark Moon vs Strael Bora

Dark Moon is the current favorite at $0.75 ask on Kalshi and $0.75 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈75% chance. Prices as of 07:54 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Dark Moon

Thu 2:30 PM ET

Strael Bora
70%80%90%11:59 PM12:45 AM1:29 AM2:14 AM2:58 AM75¢75¢

Moneyline

Dark Moon
Kalshi75¢Polymarket75¢
Strael Bora3¢ gap
Kalshi75¢Polymarket72¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.