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ITFW·Sun 9:30 AM ET

Marjorie Souza vs Oceane Babel

Oceane Babel is the current favorite at $0.81 ask on Kalshi and $0.79 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈80% chance. Prices as of 14:13 UTC on Jul 12, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Marjorie Souza

ITFW

Sun 9:30 AM ET

Oceane Babel
20%24%6:11 AM6:14 AM6:18 AM6:21 AM6:24 AM22¢23¢

Moneyline

Marjorie Souza1¢ gap
Kalshi22¢Polymarket23¢
Oceane Babel2¢ gap
Kalshi81¢Polymarket79¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.