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ITFW·Thu 9:00 AM ET

Maria Herazo vs Maria Paulina Perez Garcia

Maria Herazo is the current favorite at $0.68 ask on Kalshi and $0.70 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈69% chance. Prices as of 13:21 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Maria Herazo

ITFW

Thu 9:00 AM ET

Maria Paulina Perez Garcia
64%66%72%6:16 AM7:00 AM7:44 AM8:25 AM9:08 AM68¢70¢

Moneyline

Maria Herazo2¢ gap
Kalshi68¢Polymarket70¢
Maria Paulina Perez Garcia2¢ gap
Kalshi34¢Polymarket36¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.