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·Thu 6:30 PM ET

Vasco Da Gama vs Vitoria

Vitoria is the current favorite at $0.41 ask on Kalshi and $0.41 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈41% chance. Prices as of 07:54 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Vasco Da Gama

Thu 6:30 PM ET

Vitoria
28%32%11:58 PM12:43 AM1:29 AM2:14 AM3:00 AM31¢30¢

Moneyline

Vasco Da Gama1¢ gap
Kalshi31¢Polymarket30¢
Draw
Kalshi29¢Polymarket29¢
Vitoria
Kalshi41¢Polymarket41¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.