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·Thu 12:00 PM ET

Hegelmann Kaunas vs Paide

Paide is the current favorite at $0.50 ask on Kalshi and $0.50 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈50% chance. Prices as of 05:51 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Hegelmann Kaunas

Thu 12:00 PM ET

Paide
22%24%26%10:03 PM10:47 PM11:32 PM12:16 AM1:00 AM23¢

Moneyline

Hegelmann Kaunas1¢ gap
Kalshi24¢Polymarket23¢
Draw1¢ gap
Kalshi28¢Polymarket27¢
Paide
Kalshi50¢Polymarket50¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.