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·Sun 3:00 PM ET

Argentina vs Spain

Spain is the current favorite at $0.42 ask on Kalshi and $0.42 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈42% chance. Prices as of 05:54 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Argentina

Sun 3:00 PM ET

Spain
26%28%30%11:17 PM11:43 PM12:09 AM12:34 AM1:00 AM27¢

Moneyline

Argentina1¢ gap
Kalshi28¢Polymarket27¢
Draw1¢ gap
Kalshi33¢Polymarket32¢
Spain
Kalshi42¢Polymarket42¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.