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ITFW·Sat 4:00 AM ET

Alina Tikhonova vs Maria Kalyakina

Alina Tikhonova is the current favorite at $0.66 ask on Kalshi and $0.64 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈65% chance. Prices as of 04:59 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Alina Tikhonova

ITFW

Sat 4:00 AM ET

Maria Kalyakina
65%70%75%4:17 PM4:26 PM4:37 PM4:46 PM4:55 PM66¢64¢

Moneyline

Alina Tikhonova2¢ gap
Kalshi66¢Polymarket64¢
Maria Kalyakina1¢ gap
Kalshi39¢Polymarket38¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.