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ITFW·Sat 3:30 AM ET

Ksenia Smirnova vs Polina Leykina

Polina Leykina is the current favorite at $0.64 ask on Kalshi and $0.61 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈63% chance. Prices as of 04:57 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Ksenia Smirnova

ITFW

Sat 3:30 AM ET

Polina Leykina
45%6:09 PM6:42 PM7:14 PM7:47 PM8:19 PM38¢40¢

Moneyline

Ksenia Smirnova2¢ gap
Kalshi38¢Polymarket40¢
Polina Leykina3¢ gap
Kalshi64¢Polymarket61¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.