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BTC·Tue, Jul 14

BTC Daily Close · 2026-07-14

The most likely bucket right now is $56,000 at $1.00 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈100% chance. Prices as of 04:00 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

BTC

Tue, Jul 14

20%40%60%80%24h18h12h6hnow

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Bucket prices

$54,000
Kalshi—
Polymarket—
$56,000
Kalshi—
Polymarket100¢
$58,000
Kalshi—
Polymarket99¢
$60,0004¢ gap
Kalshi92¢
Polymarket96¢
$62,0004¢ gap
Kalshi53¢
Polymarket57¢
$64,0004¢ gap
Kalshi9¢
Polymarket5¢
$66,0003¢ gap
Kalshi3¢
Polymarket0¢
$68,0001¢ gap
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket0¢
$70,0001¢ gap
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket0¢
$72,0001¢ gap
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket0¢

Polymarket closes Jul 14, 16:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 14, 21:00 UTC

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.