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BTC·Fri, Jul 17

BTC Daily Close · 2026-07-17

The most likely bucket right now is $54,000 at $1.00 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈100% chance. Prices as of 13:44 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

BTC

Fri, Jul 17

94%95%96%98%99%24h18h12h6hnow97¢

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Bucket prices

$54,000
Kalshi—
Polymarket100¢
$56,000
Kalshi—
Polymarket100¢
$58,000
Kalshi98¢
Polymarket98¢
$60,0001¢ gap
Kalshi94¢
Polymarket93¢
$62,000
Kalshi81¢
Polymarket81¢
$64,000
Kalshi55¢
Polymarket55¢
$66,0001¢ gap
Kalshi25¢
Polymarket26¢
$68,0001¢ gap
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket9¢
$70,0001¢ gap
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket3¢
$72,0001¢ gap
Kalshi2¢
Polymarket1¢
$74,000
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket1¢

Polymarket closes Jul 17, 16:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 17, 21:00 UTC

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.