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·Tue 6:30 PM ET

America vs Avai

Avai is the current favorite at $0.51 ask on Kalshi and $0.49 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈50% chance. Prices as of 05:52 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

America

Tue 6:30 PM ET

Avai
30%34%38%10:03 PM10:47 PM11:32 PM12:16 AM1:00 AM36¢32¢

Moneyline

America4¢ gap
Kalshi36¢Polymarket32¢
Draw2¢ gap
Kalshi35¢Polymarket33¢
Avai2¢ gap
Kalshi51¢Polymarket49¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.