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ETH·Sun, Jul 12

ETH Daily Close · 2026-07-12

The most likely bucket right now is $1,800 at $0.57 ask on Kalshi and $0.58 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈57% chance. Prices as of 03:11 UTC on Jul 12, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

ETH

Sun, Jul 12

20%40%60%80%24h18h12h6hnow

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Bucket prices

$1,400
Kalshi
Polymarket
$1,600
Kalshi
Polymarket
$1,8001¢ gap
Kalshi57¢
Polymarket58¢
$2,0001¢ gap
Kalshi
Polymarket
$2,2001¢ gap
Kalshi
Polymarket

Polymarket closes Jul 12, 16:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 12, 21:00 UTC

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.