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ITF·Tue 4:30 AM ET
Daniel Siniakov vs Manuel Plunger
Daniel Siniakov is the current favorite at $0.89 ask on Kalshi and $0.88 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈89% chance. Prices as of 04:04 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.
Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.
Daniel Siniakov
ITF
Tue 4:30 AM ET
Manuel Plunger
KalshiPolymarket
Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.