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ITF·Mon 10:30 PM ET

Chase Ferguson vs Yuki Mochizuki

Chase Ferguson is the current favorite at $0.65 ask on Kalshi and $0.97 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈81% chance. Prices as of 23:11 UTC on Jul 13, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Chase Ferguson

ITF

Mon 10:30 PM ET

Yuki Mochizuki
60%70%80%90%100%12:02 PM12:20 PM12:42 PM12:59 PM1:15 PM65¢97¢

Moneyline

Chase Ferguson32¢ gap
Kalshi65¢Polymarket97¢
Yuki Mochizuki34¢ gap
Kalshi63¢Polymarket97¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.