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ITFW·Tue 4:30 AM ET

Mika Buchnik vs Nelise Verster

Mika Buchnik is the current favorite at $0.85 ask on Kalshi and $0.83 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈84% chance. Prices as of 09:42 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Mika Buchnik

ITFW

Tue 4:30 AM ET

Nelise Verster
82%84%86%88%12:20 AM12:29 AM12:37 AM12:47 AM12:59 AM85¢83¢

Moneyline

Mika Buchnik2¢ gap
Kalshi85¢Polymarket83¢
Nelise Verster2¢ gap
Kalshi19¢Polymarket21¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.