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ITFW·Tue 2:00 AM ET

Kristina Kroitor vs Sera Nishimoto

Kristina Kroitor is the current favorite at $0.95 ask on Kalshi and $0.95 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈95% chance. Prices as of 04:04 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Kristina Kroitor

ITFW

Tue 2:00 AM ET

Sera Nishimoto
93%94%96%97%6:13 PM6:26 PM6:39 PM6:51 PM7:01 PM95¢95¢

Moneyline

Kristina Kroitor
Kalshi95¢Polymarket95¢
Sera Nishimoto
Kalshi10¢Polymarket10¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.