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ITF·Wed 4:30 AM ET·K 1.5K · PM $341

Fares Zakaria vs Lenn Luemkemann

Fares Zakaria is the current favorite at $0.55 ask on Kalshi and $0.63 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈59% chance. Prices as of 11:01 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Fares Zakaria

ITF

Wed 4:30 AM ET

Lenn Luemkemann
50%60%65%24h18h12h6hnow55¢63¢

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Moneyline

Fares Zakaria8¢ gap
Kalshi55¢Polymarket63¢
Lenn Luemkemann1¢ gap
Kalshi46¢Polymarket45¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.