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Houston·Mon, Jul 13

Houston Daily High · 2026-07-13

The most likely bucket right now is 84-85°F at $0.35 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈35% chance. Prices as of 04:16 UTC on Jul 13, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Houston

Mon, Jul 13

offset day
2%4%6%8%24h18h12h6hnow3¢

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Bracket alignment

Polymarket
≤75°
76-77°
78-79°
80-81°
82-83°24¢
84-85°35¢
86-87°25¢
88-89°12¢
90-91°
92-93°
≥94°
Kalshi
≤85°
86-87°25¢
88-89°17¢
90-91°
92-93°
≥94°

Both venues' brackets on one temperature axis — each price belongs to its own venue's real bracket. Offset days show as shifted segments.

Bucket prices

≤75°F
Kalshi≤85°
Polymarket
76-77°F
Kalshi≤85°
Polymarket
78-79°F
Kalshi≤85°
Polymarket
80-81°F
Kalshi≤85°
Polymarket
82-83°F
Kalshi≤85°
Polymarket24¢
84-85°F
Kalshi≤85°
Polymarket35¢
86-87°F
Kalshi25¢Polymarket25¢
88-89°F5¢ gap
Kalshi17¢Polymarket12¢
90-91°F4¢ gap
KalshiPolymarket
92-93°F3¢ gap
KalshiPolymarket
≥94°F5¢ gap
KalshiPolymarket

Offset day: the venues' brackets differ by 1°F — the alignment strip above shows each venue's real brackets and prices. Nothing is ever combined.

Polymarket closes Jul 13, 12:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 14, 06:00 UTC

Settlement: Hobby (Kalshi: NWS CLIHOU · Poly: Wunderground KHOU)

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.