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ATPCHALLENGER·Tue 8:30 AM ET

Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Thiago Seyboth Wild is the current favorite at $0.81 ask on Kalshi and $0.80 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈81% chance. Prices as of 04:04 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Peter Makk

ATPCHALLENGER

Tue 8:30 AM ET

Thiago Seyboth Wild
20%22%24%7:50 PM8:03 PM8:16 PM8:31 PM8:48 PM21¢21¢

Moneyline

Peter Makk
Kalshi21¢Polymarket21¢
Thiago Seyboth Wild1¢ gap
Kalshi81¢Polymarket80¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.