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ATP·Sun 11:00 AM ET·K 259 · PM $30

Lukas Neumayer vs Marko Topo

Lukas Neumayer is the current favorite at $0.74 ask on Kalshi and $0.75 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈75% chance. Prices as of 03:08 UTC on Jul 12, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Lukas Neumayer

ATP

Sun 11:00 AM ET

Marko Topo
70%72%76%78%6:13 PM7:27 PM8:41 PM9:55 PM11:05 PM74¢75¢

Moneyline

Lukas Neumayer1¢ gap
Kalshi74¢Polymarket75¢
Marko Topo
Kalshi28¢Polymarket28¢

Totals

full match
Over1¢ gap
Kalshi53¢Polymarket52¢
Under3¢ gap
Kalshi54¢Polymarket51¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.