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ATP·Sun 5:00 AM ET·K 2.4K · PM $136

Calvin Hemery vs Federico Cina

Federico Cina is the current favorite at $0.73 ask on Kalshi and $0.72 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈73% chance. Prices as of 03:10 UTC on Jul 12, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Calvin Hemery

ATP

Sun 5:00 AM ET

Federico Cina
26%32%6:07 PM7:23 PM8:40 PM9:55 PM11:07 PM28¢30¢

Moneyline

Calvin Hemery2¢ gap
Kalshi28¢Polymarket30¢
Federico Cina1¢ gap
Kalshi73¢Polymarket72¢

Totals

full match
Over2¢ gap
Kalshi56¢Polymarket54¢
Under2¢ gap
Kalshi55¢Polymarket53¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.