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·Sat 4:00 AM ET·K 0

Brute vs Eternal Fire

Eternal Fire is the current favorite at $0.70 ask on Kalshi and $0.70 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈70% chance. Prices as of 04:57 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Brute

Sat 4:00 AM ET

Eternal Fire
40%60%8:15 PM8:18 PM8:20 PM8:23 PM8:26 PM52¢31¢

Moneyline

Brute21¢ gap
Kalshi52¢Polymarket31¢
Eternal Fire
Kalshi70¢Polymarket70¢

Totals

full match
Over28¢ gap
Kalshi74¢Polymarket46¢
Under38¢ gap
Kalshi98¢Polymarket60¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.