BTC Daily Close · 2026-07-15
Above $66,000 is closest to even odds: $0.22 ask on Kalshi and $0.18 ask on Polymarket, an implied ≈20% chance. Prices as of 11:00 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.
Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.
Threshold prices
Cumulative thresholds. More than one row can resolve Yes. Venues use different fixing times, sources, and boundary wording.
Polymarket closes Jul 15, 16:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 15, 21:00 UTC
Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.