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·Fri 4:00 AM ET

Raphael Collignon vs Valentin Vacherot

Raphael Collignon is the current favorite at $0.61 ask on Kalshi and $0.60 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈61% chance. Prices as of 12:41 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Raphael Collignon

Fri 4:00 AM ET

Valentin Vacherot
58%62%4:52 AM4:55 AM4:58 AM4:59 AM5:02 AM61¢60¢

Moneyline

Raphael Collignon1¢ gap
Kalshi61¢Polymarket60¢
Valentin Vacherot
Kalshi42¢Polymarket42¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.