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Dallas·Mon, Jul 13

Dallas Daily High · 2026-07-13

The most likely bucket right now is 86-87°F at $0.36 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈36% chance. Prices as of 04:15 UTC on Jul 13, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Dallas

Mon, Jul 13

offset day
2%4%6%24h18h12h6hnow3¢

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Bracket alignment

Polymarket
≤77°
78-79°
80-81°
82-83°
84-85°25¢
86-87°36¢
88-89°26¢
90-91°13¢
92-93°
94-95°
≥96°
Kalshi
≤86°
87-88°
89-90°
91-92°
93-94°
≥95°

Both venues' brackets on one temperature axis — each price belongs to its own venue's real bracket. Offset days show as shifted segments.

Bucket prices

≤77°F
Kalshi≤86°
Polymarket
78-79°F
Kalshi≤86°
Polymarket
80-81°F
Kalshi≤86°
Polymarket
82-83°F
Kalshi≤86°
Polymarket
84-85°F
Kalshi≤86°
Polymarket25¢
86-87°F
Kalshi≤86° + 87-88°
Polymarket36¢
88-89°F
Kalshi87-88° + 89-90°
Polymarket26¢
90-91°F
Kalshi89-90° + 91-92°
Polymarket13¢
92-93°F
Kalshi91-92° + 93-94°
Polymarket
94-95°F
Kalshi93-94° + ≥95°
Polymarket
≥96°F
Kalshi≥95°
Polymarket

Offset day: the venues' brackets differ by 1°F — the alignment strip above shows each venue's real brackets and prices. Nothing is ever combined.

Polymarket closes Jul 13, 12:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 14, 06:00 UTC

Settlement: Kalshi: NWS DFW (CLIDFW) · Poly: Wunderground Love Field (KDAL) — DIFFERENT airports

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.