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·Fri 6:00 PM ET

America vs Ceara

America is the current favorite at $0.42 ask on Kalshi and $0.39 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈41% chance. Prices as of 05:46 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

America

Fri 6:00 PM ET

Ceara
38%40%44%10:03 PM10:47 PM11:31 PM12:15 AM12:58 AM42¢39¢

Moneyline

America3¢ gap
Kalshi42¢Polymarket39¢
Draw2¢ gap
Kalshi32¢Polymarket30¢
Ceara2¢ gap
Kalshi35¢Polymarket33¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.