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·Wed 8:30 PM ET

Paranaense vs Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo is the current favorite at $0.51 ask on Kalshi and $0.49 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈50% chance. Prices as of 07:54 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Paranaense

Wed 8:30 PM ET

Sao Paulo
24%28%11:58 PM12:49 AM1:41 AM2:32 AM3:24 AM26¢25¢

Moneyline

Paranaense1¢ gap
Kalshi26¢Polymarket25¢
Draw
Kalshi31¢Polymarket31¢
Sao Paulo2¢ gap
Kalshi51¢Polymarket49¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.