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·Tue 8:35 PM ET

Fortaleza vs Vila Nova

Vila Nova is the current favorite at $0.44 ask on Kalshi and $0.41 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈43% chance. Prices as of 05:55 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Fortaleza

Tue 8:35 PM ET

Vila Nova
36%38%42%10:03 PM10:47 PM11:31 PM12:15 AM12:58 AM39¢40¢

Moneyline

Fortaleza1¢ gap
Kalshi39¢Polymarket40¢
Draw3¢ gap
Kalshi37¢Polymarket34¢
Vila Nova3¢ gap
Kalshi44¢Polymarket41¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.