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ATPCHALLENGER·Fri 9:00 AM ET

Hugo Gaston vs Marvin Moeller

Hugo Gaston is the current favorite at $0.73 ask on Kalshi and $0.72 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈73% chance. Prices as of 04:45 UTC on Jul 10, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Hugo Gaston

ATPCHALLENGER

Fri 9:00 AM ET

Marvin Moeller
70%74%8:38 PM9:47 PM10:53 PM11:47 PM12:43 AM73¢72¢

Moneyline

Hugo Gaston1¢ gap
Kalshi73¢Polymarket72¢
Marvin Moeller1¢ gap
Kalshi28¢Polymarket29¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.