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ATPCHALLENGER·Fri 6:00 AM ET

Diego Dedura Palomero vs Jan Choinski

Jan Choinski is the current favorite at $0.55 ask on Kalshi and $0.55 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈55% chance. Prices as of 04:44 UTC on Jul 10, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Diego Dedura Palomero

ATPCHALLENGER

Fri 6:00 AM ET

Jan Choinski
44%48%50%6:17 PM8:02 PM9:47 PM11:18 PM12:41 AM46¢46¢

Moneyline

Diego Dedura Palomero
Kalshi46¢Polymarket46¢
Jan Choinski
Kalshi55¢Polymarket55¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.