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·Thu 12:00 PM ET

Giorgia Pedone vs Marjorie Souza

Giorgia Pedone is the current favorite at $0.88 ask on Kalshi and $0.88 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈88% chance. Prices as of 12:46 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Giorgia Pedone

Thu 12:00 PM ET

Marjorie Souza
86%90%6:20 AM6:24 AM6:27 AM6:30 AM6:33 AM88¢89¢

Moneyline

Giorgia Pedone
Kalshi88¢Polymarket88¢
Marjorie Souza
Kalshi16¢Polymarket16¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.