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·Fri 7:00 PM ET

Gremio vs Mirassol

Mirassol is the current favorite at $0.48 ask on Kalshi and $0.49 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈49% chance. Prices as of 05:48 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Gremio

Fri 7:00 PM ET

Mirassol
23%24%26%27%10:03 PM10:47 PM11:31 PM12:15 AM12:58 AM25¢25¢

Moneyline

Gremio
Kalshi25¢Polymarket25¢
Draw
Kalshi28¢Polymarket28¢
Mirassol1¢ gap
Kalshi48¢Polymarket49¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.