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·Thu 2:00 PM ET

Axel Nefve vs Nathan Cox

Axel Nefve is the current favorite at $0.68 ask on Kalshi and $0.63 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈66% chance. Prices as of 11:49 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Axel Nefve

Thu 2:00 PM ET

Nathan Cox
62%64%66%70%2:25 AM2:41 AM2:58 AM3:13 AM3:30 AM68¢63¢

Moneyline

Axel Nefve5¢ gap
Kalshi68¢Polymarket63¢
Nathan Cox30¢ gap
Kalshi69¢Polymarket39¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.