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·Thu 4:00 AM ET

Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Semen Aginskiy

Gabi Adrian Boitan is the current favorite at $0.91 ask on Kalshi and $0.97 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈94% chance. Prices as of 04:51 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Gabi Adrian Boitan

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Semen Aginskiy
90%92%94%96%98%6:17 PM6:20 PM6:23 PM6:25 PM6:30 PM91¢97¢

Moneyline

Gabi Adrian Boitan6¢ gap
Kalshi91¢Polymarket97¢
Semen Aginskiy26¢ gap
Kalshi71¢Polymarket97¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.