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ITFW·Thu 3:00 PM ET

Alina Shcherbinina vs Vesa Gjinaj

Alina Shcherbinina is the current favorite at $0.95 ask on Kalshi and $0.98 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈97% chance. Prices as of 13:20 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Alina Shcherbinina

ITFW

Thu 3:00 PM ET

Vesa Gjinaj
94%96%100%6:25 AM7:10 AM7:50 AM8:29 AM9:08 AM95¢98¢

Moneyline

Alina Shcherbinina3¢ gap
Kalshi95¢Polymarket98¢
Vesa Gjinaj3¢ gap
Kalshi95¢Polymarket98¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.